Sunday, April 29, 2007

Alien Civilization, A perspective.

When showing for the first time a couple of years ago, the movie Independence Day sure had captured the heart of millions of people with its thrilling plot and stunning computer graphic effects. It’s a movie stuffed with alien spacecrafts and actions, so to speak. After such a long time, the exhilaration should have all lost in the void that embeds planet earth. But one question lingers: how likely is an advance alien civilization visiting earth to be combative in nature, eager to fight and conquer anything that stands in the paths of their spaceships? My guess is, we are not likely to come across an alien civilization bound on conquest and annihilation.

Let’s look at some facts first; manned space travel is no ordinary feat, at least in our terms. The vast amount of resources, energy, and technology needed to build a spaceship, to cater for people (I mean aliens) who travel with it, to avoid any potential danger, to power it and the time needed to traverse celestial distances is simply unimaginable to any of us. It may sound ignominious, but our current scientific knowledge and technology is so limited that we cannot even overcome the technical difficulties at theoretical level. The sheer amount of cost spent just to escape the confines of our home planet is a testimony of our primitiveness.

In 1964, astronomer Nikolai Kardashev proposed a general method to classify how technologically advanced a civilization is by measuring (I shall omit all the technicalities here) the total amount of energy a civilization could utilize. By the Kardashev scale, a type I civilization is able to harness all the power available on a planet. A type II civilization is able to harness all the power available from a star and finally a type III civilization would be able to harness all the power of a galaxy, which, in the case of our galaxy, the Milky Way, equals to about 10^36 Watt (1 followed by 36 zeroes). Currently, our civilization is a type 0.7, which consumes 10^13 (10 trillion) Watt. By extrapolation, it’s estimated that the earth will reach type I sometime around 23rd century.

Naturally, an alien who comes knocking at our doors must have belonged to at least a type II civilization and as a corollary of that, they must at least be several millennia ahead of us in terms of science and technology. At the same time, one should always keep in mind that despite how advance our alien friends might be, there must have been a time when their ancestors were living a savage lifestyle, much like how our ancestors lived theirs dozens of millennia ago. And as a life form, they need energy to keep things going around. In order to secure access to certain resources, some sort of nation states could have been formed to protect them from others.

There have been many occasions, whether on TVs, books or games which feature aggressive and combative alien races, yet these alien races have somehow managed to rally themselves under a single planetary government. Given their combativeness, it makes one wonders how they could reconcile with one another in the very first place! My point is, throughout the course of history, an alien civilization which is combative in nature would have fought so many wars with one another that they are likely to have destroyed themselves before they even have a chance to colonize other planets. Even if they managed to escape the fate of self-annihilation, constant wars and conflicts would have hindered progress significantly if not totally. In addition, unless they learn how to live with each other peacefully, more wars will eventually break out. The more advance the civilization becomes, the more deadly the weapons deployed and the direr the consequences will be.

On the other hand, civilizations which have come to realize the importance of sharing resources and working together would have a better chance to become a space faring species. Not only due to the fact that they could avoid any potentially devastating conflict, but cooperation would have allowed them to do just about anything more efficiently, from scientific researches to dealing with planetary issues.

As a conclusion, instead of worrying about being exterminated by some alien civilizations, we should instead worry about ourselves. Whether we will become a space faring species in the next few millennia or we will destroy ourselves would largely depend on how good we could reconcile with each other, and how willing we are to set aside all our differences and work together for the sake of our children.

11 comments:

michelle wong said...

Wow, you are greedy indeed. An alien civilization can bring out so many hypothetical questions about technology, or even philosophical/sociological views. Hmmm, here is some of my 2 cents of thought:
1) Energy requirement. I think as for the energy harvesting point of view, let's may be assuming it in this way. Driving your car to Singapore will take 3 full tanks of petrol. So since you can't drive all the way to Singapore with 1 full tank, you would have at least stop twice to refill. Then, can the same analogy can be applied here?
And the second suggestion would be that we need a lot of petrol/coal/natural gas or whatever energy supplier to generate 10^13 Watt because these listed supplier above is producing only so much energy per unit mass. But what if the alien is using different material which generate 10 millions time of energy for the same unit mass? That planet might not be the exactly the same planet as we have now, not only in terms of composition of matter but could be also the different matters (and I wonder is the chemistry periodic table is fixed and no more additions or expansions?).
2) The mindset of alien civilization. This is very interesting to actually think it in hypothetical way, if I am about to dream of the Utopian society :P But putting that aside, I would have to ask myself the few obvious question. What is their motivation to explore the universe? The reason I ask myself this question is that since you suggested that a LOT of energy is required, they must be looking for something before investing such enormous amount of energy! (of course, we presume that They think humanly like us *cost-benefit analysis*, which might not be true as I will ask later). Since you had proposed that it could be due to escape from genocide/warring/conflict, should we be worried about if our planet is habitable to them, or they will just pass by? :P
I read this somewhere about the question: if 2 different species of animal meeting up together for the first time in their lives, for example like Galapagos tortoise vs Orang Utan, what would be the reaction. They said that the observation made often than not is actually neutralism, instead of jumping straight to fighting. Of course, they said it based on evolutionary psychology (I think it is in George Miller's The Mating Mind). Now, the trick question is, will human-alien relationship be something like neutralism or fighting over reproduction/survivality?
Another interesting point of yours would be: what makes these aliens so great in producing such advanced technology to be able to travelled to this space. We might think they must have such high intelligence, philosophical undertakings (if they manage to be so peaceful and have no conflict at all), or supreme collectivist mindset (you know, just be collective, like the ants in the hive), and so on. But take a step backward: put yourself into the ant shoes and have a look at human being. If you look at human from the eyes of ant, you would be wondering what makes them travel so fast, or you as a fish, wow, human being actually floating on the water at one moment and sinking into water next and so forth. At the end, actually we are comparing it in a very different realms: one being ant/fish, and another one would be human being. Why I brought this up? I would think that if there is any alien to be met in the future, let's not presume too much on why or how they become where they are from the very human perspective, i think some call this anthropomorphism.
And coming to your last point: how good we could reconcile with others in ensuring our survivality, i think a lot of philosophers/great thinkers have expounded heavily on this subject by understanding human nature and the prospects of it. There is only 2 points coming to me at this moment: Hegel said "What experience and history teach is this — that nations and governments have never learned anything from history, or acted upon any lessons they might have drawn from it." and resources will become scarcer and rarer, and may be we are bound for collision, 2 persons wanting the same thing. But what resources or at what rate, I have no idea ;)

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